Lots and lots of opinions have been heard in the past few years about an imminent GEC (Global Economic Collapse). Specially in the past few months, after the US government’s poor handling of its financial crisis and near-default situation along with the continuing stress coming from the mishandling of EU’s own debt crisis. Alarmist or not, those opinions being raised have some ground of serious validity in them and maybe the world should start preparing for perhaps one of global history’s most important events: A GEC!
European countries are consumed in an ever ending struggle to fight the ghost of financial debt and the threat of bankruptcy that hangs above Euro’s currency. Greece has yet to recover, Spain and Italy seem ready to collapse too and Germany’s egocentric politics leave no space for common ground and feasible solutions. Meanwhile US economy is at its worst, ready to default and with no strong support from its institutions the financial stability of US seems long gone. Debt between countries increases, interest has skyrocketed, money loses its value (specially in the US) and unemployment with inflation are becoming worst every day around the world.
Some say that 2012 will be the year of GEC; but what will that mean for all of us? No one really knows because something like that has never happened before. The old ‘solution’ to resolve financial crises was war. Maybe that will happen again. Maybe at the final hour, a solution will show up from a probable common ground that my arise. We are at the gates of terra incognita here and OK I am not an economist but I can see the huge changes and risks up front. What do economists do? What do governments and global institutions do to address those eminent threats? What are their response plans both to rising threats as well as obvious opportunities? So far, the world has yet to see a vital solution and pessimism slowly sets in. We can only hope from now on. As any mathematical problem with X variables has X solutions, so do these problems even if they are addressed with fancy economic terms.
PS: Check out this interesting, yet simplistic, video: